SummitFx A.I.
Trading Desk Powering Up…
Resources
Self-study packs and trading notes on the tape of the last two weeks. This is education — not a recommendation to trade, and not a solicitation. Leveraged FX can return a total loss of capital.
Guides
Updated foundational notes — how the FX market is built, how a quote becomes a pip, and how a stop becomes a size. Fourteen pages on pairs, sessions, leverage, orders, charts, and a one-percent risk ceiling. Education, not a trade recommendation.
14 pages · Self-study pack · October 2026
Continuation of Introduction to Forex. The trading clock, what a click actually costs, execution around a news print, and a one-page plan you write before you size the trade. Education, not a trade recommendation.
15 pages · Self-study pack · October 2026
Continuation of Sessions, Spreads & the Written Plan. How a stop becomes a lot, when the session is finished, and the one change a Sunday review is allowed to make. Education, not a trade recommendation.
14 pages · Self-study pack · October 2026
Continuation of Size, the Halt & the Weekly Review. How a run of losses is scored in R, why twenty tickets are not a verdict, and which line on the page is allowed to leave. Education, not a trade recommendation.
14 pages · Self-study pack · October 2026
Continuation of The Streak, the Sample & What You Retire. When two tickets are one bet, what overnight interest costs, and why a Friday close is not the same market as Sunday. Education, not a trade recommendation.
14 pages · Self-study pack · November 2026
Notes · last two weeks
Alphabet's slide hit Asian equities, yet AUDJPY fell only to about 110.80. How to read a risk cross against the shock that moved it.
AUD/JPY · AUD/USD · USD/JPY · NAS100
The Bank of Japan held at 1.25% as Takata sought 1.5% and the Outlook Report saw 2% met. How to decode a fully priced hold.
USD/JPY · JP2Y · EUR/JPY
Brent neared $116 and the loonie hit a six-week high. Why trade, rates and official flows decide how oil moves CAD, NOK and the yen.
BRENT · USD/CAD · USD/NOK · USD/JPY
US wage costs rose 0.8% as expected and Canada's GDP stalled in August. How to plan the data window and the month-end London fix separately.
US2Y · USD/CAD · DXY · EUR/USD
The PBOC fixed dollar-yuan at 6.7138, 590 pips weaker than expected, as the yuan neared four-year highs. What can go wrong in a managed currency.
USD/CNY · USD/CNH · DXY · CSI300
The won fell 14 won to 1,337.7 as the KOSPI surged, then led Asia after the Fed. How to read an Asian session when equity inflows are hedged.
USD/KRW · KOSPI · DXY
The ECB held at 2.50% and flagged tighter financing conditions; the euro slipped to around $1.11. How to decode guidance when a hold is priced.
EUR/USD · DE2Y · FR10Y
Two-year yields fell and ten-year yields rose after Warsh spoke, and the dollar slipped. Why the front end of the curve matters most for FX.
US2S10S · US2Y · US10Y · DXY · USD/JPY
US Q3 GDP grew 3.4%, beating forecasts, while core PCE matched at 0.3%. How a five-step run sheet reads two tier-1 releases in the same minute.
FEDFUNDS · US2Y · DXY · EUR/USD
The rupiah hit a record low as oil and US rates weighed; Bank Indonesia is intervening. What intervention can and cannot do for event risk.
USD/IDR · BRENT · DXY
The RBNZ held at 2.75% by a 4–3 vote against a priced hike and the kiwi fell 1.7%. How to measure a policy surprise against market pricing.
NZD/USD · AUD/NZD · AUD/USD
The BoC hiked to 2.5% as most economists expected. How guidance, forecasts and oil shaped a muted Canadian dollar reaction.
USD/CAD · BRENT · DXY
The Fed held at 3.75%–4.00% with two dissents for a hike. Gold fell 0.5% as yields rose and the dollar barely moved: reading a shifting correlation.
XAU/USD · DXY · US10Y
The Budget met the fiscal rules with £15bn of headroom and gilts barely moved. A five-step method for reading fiscal events through gilts and sterling.
UK30Y · GBP/USD · EUR/GBP
Israel's count left both blocs short of 61 seats and the shekel fell about 2% to 3.1185 per dollar. How a hung result becomes a chain of risks.
USD/ILS · EUR/ILS · BRENT
Why the yen slipped to 157.73 per dollar in Tokyo as BoJ underlying inflation rose, and how to read flow versus information in the session.
USD/JPY · EUR/JPY · DXY
Australia's trimmed mean rose 1.0% in the September quarter, in line with banks but above the RBA. How the print lifted hike pricing and AUDUSD.
AUD/USD · AUD/NZD
Thailand's record 50.4% import surge and Brent near $115 show how oil reaches an importer's currency through the trade balance, and when that link weakens.
USD/THB · BRENT · USD/IDR
A US run sheet in practice: durables 1.8%, confidence 91.7, a five-year auction at 4.845% and a full $6bn buyback, with UTC times and lessons.
US5Y · DXY · US30Y
The Budget left £15bn of headroom, as priced, and gilts and sterling barely moved. Why a well-priced event creates asymmetric risk for GBPUSD.
GBP/USD · UK10Y · EUR/GBP
Lula's surprise runoff win hit the real offshore, then onshore: the dollar rose 11% to R$5.54 by 13:41 UTC. How offshore proxies compared.
USD/BRL · IBOV · USD/MXN
Germany's Ifo index rose to 90.2 in October on stronger expectations. How to read a sentiment survey and why a euro cross isolates the story.
EUR/GBP · EUR/USD · DE2Y
US yields near one-month lows eased the dollar; a slightly soft two-year auction at 4.708% barely moved it. Why the reason yields move matters.
US10Y · DXY · US30Y · BRENT
A five-step method to compare option-implied moves with scenario estimates, tested on the shekel's 2% fall after Israel's 27 October election.
USD/ILS · EUR/ILS
Swaps priced an 88% chance of an RBNZ hike; the bank held 4–3 and the kiwi fell 1.7%. Why priced decisions and holiday liquidity create asymmetric risk.
NZD/USD · AUD/NZD · NZ2Y
Moody's kept France at Aa3 after Friday's close. How the euro prices weekend news at the thin Sunday open and why bond spreads give the real test.
EUR/USD · EUR/JPY · FR10Y · DE10Y
The Fed decides at 18:00 UTC on 28 October with a hold expected. How to read the vote split, statement changes and press conference for the dollar.
DXY · US2Y · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
The euro hit a one-year low against the yen before the ECB and BoJ decisions. How to split a cross into its two legs and read hedging flows.
EUR/JPY · USD/JPY · NIKKEI · JP10Y
RBNZ, BoC, Fed, ECB and BoJ decide in about 50 hours while London and New York are four hours apart. A five-step method for event-week planning.
USD/CAD · NZD/USD · AUD/USD · DXY
The real rallied below R$5 before Brazil's close runoff. How to plan for an election result released while markets are closed and gap risk at the open.
USD/BRL · DXY · USD/MXN
The yen hit a one-month high as stocks fell, US yields dropped and options expired. How to separate fading flows from lasting repricing.
USD/JPY · US10Y · JP10Y · NIKKEI
US flash composite PMI eased to 57.6 but selling prices rose at the fastest pace since 2022, and Michigan held inflation expectations at 4.7%.
US2Y · DXY · EUR/USD · FEDFUNDS
French 10-year yields passed 5% and the franc reached a 3.5-month high against the euro. Why EURCHF, not EURUSD, carries the stress.
EUR/CHF · FR10Y · DE10Y · USD/CHF
Europe changes clocks on 25 October and the US on 1 November. A four-step method to re-map releases, fixes and sessions in UTC.
GBP/JPY · GBP/USD · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
The BSP raised rates to 5.50%, yet the peso closed at a record 63.52 per dollar. Why oil-driven pressure can outweigh a rate hike.
USD/PHP · BRENT · USD/IDR · USD/THB
NZ inflation slowed to 3.7%, yet RBNZ hike odds stayed near 98%. How to read a cross when both central banks lean towards tightening.
AUD/NZD · NZD/USD · AUD/USD
The BOK held at 3.00% unanimously but kept 'further increases' in its guidance. Three questions for reading any central-bank pause.
USD/KRW · KOSPI · DXY
Gold slipped as oil lifted inflation fears and Fed hike odds held near 88%. How yields, the dollar and oil decide when gold acts as a haven.
XAU/USD · US10Y · DXY · BRENT
The SNB's summary of its September assessment said intervention readiness was eased as the franc weakened. A six-step method for reading minutes.
USD/CHF · EUR/CHF
The CBRT cut its policy rate by 100bp to 36% at 11:00 UTC, as expected. Why framework risk matters more than the day's move for a high-carry lira.
USD/TRY · EUR/TRY
The Aussie neared a three-week high as RBA hike odds rose to about 40%. Three checks for reading a session move driven by a central-bank speech.
AUD/USD · NZD/USD · DXY
UK CPI rose to 3.5% in September (ONS) against 3.4% expected, with services at 3.7%. How base effects and services shape the sterling reaction.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · UK2Y
The dollar index fell to a three-week low as oil and long-end yields slipped. How energy independence and yields changed the oil-dollar link.
DXY · US10Y · EUR/USD
A record JGB 20-year auction and a firm US 20-year sale at 5.469%. A five-step method for judging auction demand and its effect on currencies.
US20Y · USD/JPY · JGB20Y
SA CPI rose to 4.5% (Stats SA) against 4.7% expected, and the MTBPS trimmed the deficit path. A risk protocol for a day when two events pull apart.
USDZAR · SAGB2035 · DXY
The kiwi rose to $0.5668 as the dollar drifted to Asia lows without news. A three-question session map for reading Asia moves before London.
NZD/USD · AUD/USD · DXY
UK jobs data (ONS, 06:00 UTC): unemployment 4.7%, regular pay 3.7%, payrolls down on the year. How to read pay, payrolls and the LFS in order.
UK2Y · GBP/USD · EUR/GBP
Brent near $109 and the rupee flat near 95: how the RBI's oil dollar window moves the oil shock from the exchange rate to reserves.
USD/INR · BRENT · WTI
Fed hike odds near 17% mean about 4 bp priced. A six-step method to read implied probabilities before Fed, RBNZ, BoJ and BoE decisions.
FEDFUNDS · DXY · NZD/USD · USD/JPY
BI held the BI-Rate at 5.75% and the lending facility at 6.50% on 21 October, raised the deposit facility to 5.00% and expanded DNDF incentives.
USD/IDR · USD/INR · DXY
Sterling hit 83.95 pence per euro as French unrest widened the OAT-Bund spread to 144 bp. How to tell which leg of a cross is driving the move.
EUR/GBP · EUR/USD · GBP/USD
China grew 4.5% in Q3 and the yuan hit a four-year high. Why the PBoC midpoint matters as much as the data for reading a managed currency.
USD/CNH · USD/CNY · AUD/USD
Canada CPI rose to 3.1% on gasoline while ex-gasoline slowed to 2.2%. How to separate energy effects from the pressure the Bank of Canada responds to.
USD/CAD · BRENT · CAD/JPY
Ueda said underlying inflation is quite close to 2%, yet the yen weakened. A four-step method for decoding central-bank testimony and its FX impact.
USD/JPY · JP10Y · EUR/JPY
US builder confidence fell to 29, the lowest since 2012. How to weigh secondary data during a Fed blackout when policy pricing is unsettled.
US10Y · DXY · USD/CHF
Why the dollar fell in a risk-off week, how AI equity stress and fading Fed hike odds interact, and what to watch before the 28 October Fed decision.
DXY · USD/CHF · GBP/USD · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
UK labour data on 20 October and September CPI on 21 October at 06:00 UTC: how wages and inflation transmit into sterling through rate expectations.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · UK2Y
China's Q3 GDP is due at 02:00 UTC on 19 October. How the Australian dollar acts as a China proxy, and when that correlation breaks.
AUD/USD · USD/CNH · AUD/JPY
A five-step routine for EURUSD in the week before Fed, ECB and BoJ decisions: build a UTC event grid, rank releases and set exposure in advance.
EUR/USD · DXY · EUR/GBP
How MSCI's proposal to reclassify Indonesia turns into currency risk for the rupiah through passive flows, bond outflows and the oil import bill.
USD/IDR · DXY · BRENT
The Nikkei fell 4.9% yet the yen lagged the euro and sterling. How to read a risk-off session when the haven currency does not rally.
EUR/JPY · USD/JPY · GBP/JPY · US10Y
Fed officials split on another hike after hot CPI and PPI. How to decode a divided committee through the two-year yield before the blackout.
US2Y · DXY · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
The krone gained about 2.5% against the euro in October, then wobbled in the tech sell-off. How to separate oil, rates and risk in EURNOK.
EUR/NOK · USD/NOK · BRENT · EUR/USD
Final euro area HICP confirmed the 3.8% flash and 2.5% core. A five-step method for reading confirmation releases and the EURCHF reaction.
EUR/CHF · EUR/USD · EUR/GBP
Record foreign selling pushed the Taiwan dollar to 32.265 amid reported intervention. What equity outflows mean for spreads, gaps and risk.
USD/TWD · USD/KRW · DXY
USDCAD hit 1.4299 after hot US CPI despite Brent above $104. How to tell whether the rate gap or oil is driving the Canadian dollar.
USD/CAD · DXY · US10Y
Australian employment fell 39,300 and unemployment held at 4.7%. How a labour print moves RBA odds, bond futures and AUD crosses.
AUD/JPY · AUD/USD · EUR/AUD
Gold fell 2.1% on hot US CPI, then rebounded to $4,158.63 as yields eased. How real yields and the dollar explain bullion moves.
XAU/USD · US10Y · DXY
US PPI jumped 1.3% and retail sales rose 0.8% at 12:30 UTC, yet yields fell. A five-step method for ranking stacked releases and reading the reaction.
USD/CHF · US2Y · DXY
KOSPI fell over 7% as foreigners sold and the won weakened toward 1,347.60. How equity outflows become Asian FX liquidity and event risk.
USD/KRW · USD/TWD · US10Y
How fading October BoJ hike odds met a hot US September CPI (3.7% y/y, core 2.6%) — reading the USDJPY range after the dollar bid.
USD/JPY · DXY · US10Y
NBS September CPI 0.9% vs PPI 5.0%: how to separate consumer and factory-gate channels for USDCNH and AUD after the Asia release.
USD/CNH · AUD/USD · USD/CNY
BLS September CPI: headline 0.6%/3.7%, core 0.3%/2.6%. How energy drove the monthly rise while hotter core re-bid the dollar index.
DXY · XAU/USD · USD/CAD
Five CPI-day checks applied to BLS Sept print (0.6%/3.7% headline; 0.3%/2.6% core): timing, consensus, split, reaction, next print.
EUR/USD · DXY · USD/JPY
How MAS, China CPI/PPI and Australia's September jobs miss (-39,300; 4.7%) created stack risk for AUDUSD into the London open.
AUD/USD · USD/CNH · NZD/USD
RBA minutes kept the door open to more hikes while the RBNZ signals a pause. How to read AUDNZD to isolate a relative policy story.
AUDNZD · AUD/USD · NZD/USD · DXY
Greene warned waiting for second-round effects would be too late. Why sterling barely moved, and how to read swing voters on a split MPC.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · DXY
The two-year yield is 41bp higher since September and DXY hit an 18-month high. How to tell policy-driven yields from term-premium moves.
US2Y · DXY · US10Y · USD/JPY
A five-step method for reading IMF forecasts for currencies, applied to EURGBP: revisions, relative gaps, assumptions, policy language and dates.
EUR/GBP · EUR/USD · GBP/USD · Brent
MAS kept the S$NEER policy band unchanged on 14 October after two tightenings, as Singapore's advance Q3 GDP rose 5.4% y/y. How the band works and what to watch for USDSGD.
USDSGD · USD/CNH · DXY
Why the won hit a two-year high as foreigners sold Seoul stocks: record exports, chip flows and how to weigh trade against portfolio flows.
USD/KRW · DXY · USD/JPY · USD/CNH
India's September CPI rose to 5.54% vs a 5.40% poll. How the RBI's dollar window and 20% hedge reserve work and what it means for the rupee.
USD/INR · DXY · IN10Y
Why gold has fallen while oil rose during the Iran war, how the two-year yield links them, and how to test a safe-haven label.
XAU/USD · DXY · US2Y · US10Y
A five-step checklist for judging a budget's currency impact, using Malaysia's 2027 plan: surprise, assumptions, quality, financing, backdrop.
USD/MYR · DXY · EUR/USD
How an unconfirmed Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire and Gulf attacks create two-way oil risk for USDCAD while Canada and US bonds are closed.
USD/CAD · WTI · Brent · DXY
Why the euro's five-week slide now rests on positioning, and the UTC checkpoints for EURUSD in the week of 12 October 2026.
EUR/USD · DXY · EUR/GBP · Brent
How to read an energy-driven US CPI headline against core inflation, and why the dollar may follow the core signal on 14 October.
DXY · US2Y · US10Y · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
Why energy-driven Chinese factory-gate inflation can break the usual China-to-AUD link, and what to watch on 14 October 2026.
USD/CNH · AUD/USD · NZD/USD · Brent
A six-step method for mapping central-bank remarks and data released in Asia hours, applied to AUDUSD in the week of 12 October 2026.
AUD/USD · AUD/JPY · EUR/USD · GBP/USD
Why Japan, US and Canada holidays thin FX liquidity on 12 October, and a holiday checklist for USDJPY near official watch levels.
USD/JPY · USD/CAD · DXY · US10Y
How to read NZD/USD's multi-week decline through the RBNZ OCR versus Fed funds differential, without trade signals.
NZD/USD · AUD/USD · DXY · US10Y
Canada lost 68,000 jobs in September vs a +7,000 consensus; unemployment rose to 6.5%. How to read USDCAD, wages and oil before the BoC. Education only.
USD/CAD · WTI · US10Y · DXY
How to read the Oct 8 30-year Treasury auction and the weekly yield drop for dollar and AUDUSD context.
US10Y · AUD/USD · DXY · WTI
Michigan sentiment fell to 46.3 vs 47.6 expected as inflation expectations rose to 4.7% and 3.5%. A five-step FX reading method. Education only.
USD/CHF · GBP/USD · EUR/USD · US10Y
Educational risk watch on sterling after Bailey and Greene remarks, UK Budget timing, and Friday–weekend liquidity.
GBP/USD · DXY · EUR/GBP · US10Y
The euro fell to 84.49 pence as French yields jumped, yet sterling also fell against the dollar. How to read a cross by splitting it into two dollar legs.
EUR/GBP · EUR/USD · GBP/USD · DXY
The ECB account showed unanimous support for the hike, no guidance on more and no TPI mention, as French yields climb. What it means. Education only.
EUR/USD · EUR/GBP · DXY
Japan's JPY4.06trn surplus beat forecasts on record income, yet oil imports drove a goods deficit. Why the headline overstates yen demand. Education only.
USD/JPY · US10Y · DXY
Claims fell to 197,000 vs 200,000 expected while continuing claims rose to 1.716m. A five-step method for reading the weekly US release. Education only.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
The PBOC set the yuan midpoint 113 pips weaker than estimates as China reopened. How to read a fixing gap and manage managed-currency risk. Education only.
USD/CNY · USD/CNH · AUD/USD · DXY
EURUSD bounced to $1.126 as French yields fell 11.4bp, then gave it back a day later. How to tell a relief rally from a trend change. Education only.
EUR/USD · EUR/GBP · DXY
FOMC minutes said most officials saw another hike by year end but named no meeting. How to read the record against market pricing. Education only.
DXY · US10Y · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
USDJPY rose to 158.43 despite firm wages and a hawkish BoJ dissenter. Why the US-Japan yield gap still dominates the yen. Education only.
USD/JPY · US10Y · DXY · EUR/JPY
Mann lifted sterling, Sato backed hikes and Fed calendars conflict. A four-factor method to weigh speakers by vote, record, novelty and format.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · DXY · USD/JPY
The RBI hiked 25bp to 5.50% and turned to calibrated tightening, yet the rupee fell to 96.78. Why expected decisions still carry risk. Education only.
USD/INR · DXY · US10Y
EURUSD touched $1.116 as French spreads hit 2011 highs. How to read a risk-premium sell-off through spreads, crosses and sessions. Education only.
EUR/USD · EUR/GBP · EUR/JPY · DXY
Ueda spoke after the BoJ's 7-2 hike to 1.25% and kept further hikes in view. A phrase-by-phrase method for reading a governor's speech. Education only.
USD/JPY · EUR/JPY · DXY
US yields hit 24-year highs and the dollar held; French and Japanese yields rose and their currencies fell. How to tell the difference. Education only.
US10Y · DXY · EUR/USD · USD/JPY · XAU/USD
The US August trade deficit hit $105.6bn, outside a $89.8bn-$102bn consensus range. A five-step method for using consensus ranges. Education only.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD/CAD · USD/CHF
USDCAD hit 1.4293 as oil fell on a G7 reserve release, but Europe drove the move. Why commodity-currency links break and how size changes. Education only.
USD/CAD · DXY · EUR/USD
September ISM Services printed 54.9, just below a 55.0–55.7 consensus band, with prices paid at 74.0 — how to read it into DXY and EURUSD. Education only.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD
Educational policy decoder for 7 Oct 2026 FOMC Minutes of the Sep meeting — 3.75%–4.00% hike context, not a new decision. Not investment advice.
USD · US10Y · EUR/USD
Why elevated US long-end yields can support USD and pressure gold even when near-term Fed hike odds cool after soft jobs. Educational only.
US10Y · XAU/USD · DXY · USD/JPY
Process guide for 5–9 Oct 2026 — ISM Services, FOMC Minutes, China reopen, CAD jobs — versus CPI 14 Oct and FOMC 27–28 Oct. Education only.
USD · EUR/USD · USD/CAD
Risk protocol for Thursday 8 Oct 2026 mainland reopen — USDCNH spreads, catch-up flows, and false breaks after Golden Week. Education only.
USD/CNH · CNH · CNY
Educational Market Pulse on DXY near 102 into the September 2026 Employment Situation — basket confirmation, yields, and event premium. Not trade signals.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD/JPY · GBP/USD
September 2026 BLS jobs report: payrolls +29k vs an +84k–98k consensus range, 4.2% unemployment, soft wages, revisions and FX. Education only.
USD · DXY · US10Y
Cross-asset note on gold near $4,180, US 10-year retreat from ~5.34%, and dollar channels into Friday NFP. Educational, not investment advice.
XAU/USD · US10Y · DXY
Step-by-step educational checklist for Employment Situation Fridays — tables, revisions, spreads, and confirmation. Not a trading signal service.
USD · DXY · EUR/USD · GBP/USD
Risk Watch on Employment Situation microstructure — spreads, gaps, Asia FX into USD events, and Friday afternoon thinness. Education only.
USD · DXY · USD/CNH · EUR/USD
Educational guide to reading GBP/USD's pullback from a one-week high as dollar bid and mixed BoE–Fed rate paths shape Cable into London.
GBP/USD · DXY · GBP
How the September 2026 BoJ Tankan (+24 manufacturers, +35 non-manufacturers) feeds BoJ hike odds and USD/JPY pricing — educational only.
USD/JPY · JPY · USD
Educational cross-asset note on Brent's post-September surge and the three FX channels — terms of trade, US inflation, and geopolitics.
USD/CAD · Brent · DXY · WTI
A durable process guide to ISM's headline, New Orders, Employment and Prices Paid — built for the Thursday before Nonfarm Payrolls.
USD · DXY · US yields
Educational risk note on Golden Week 1–7 Oct 2026: onshore CNY closed, CNH open, and how Friday NFP transmits through thin Asia liquidity.
USD/CNH · AUD/USD · CNH · CNY
Educational Market Pulse on EUR/USD near May 2025 lows after a strong dollar September, teaching rate differentials versus regional risk premia.
EUR/USD · DXY · USD/CHF
Educational Macro Event note on Core PCE, ADP, and final GDP — PCE versus CPI, Fed-path transmission, and a reusable hotter/cooler scorecard.
USD · DXY · EUR/USD
Educational Cross-Asset note on US yields above 5%, DXY near late-July highs, and why FX and gold move with opportunity cost — not in isolation.
US10Y · DXY · XAU/USD
Process Guide for preparing European CPI flashes, US Core PCE, ISM, and NFP — a durable five-step calendar-craft stack sheet for FX desks.
EUR/USD · USD · DXY
Educational Risk Watch on USD/JPY after Katayama–Bessent cooperation language — regime volatility into Core PCE and payrolls, not a trade call.
USD/JPY · DXY · US10Y
Educational guide to reading EUR/USD near three-month lows as DXY holds a two-month peak into London, with ECB context and a reusable session checklist.
EUR/USD · DXY
The RBA Monetary Policy Board raised the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.60% on 29 September 2026, in a unanimous decision, and said it will increase the cash rate further if needed. An educational read of how the rate level, statement language and press conference transmit into AUD/USD — and a reusable G10 meeting scorecard.
AUD/USD · AUD
How US Treasury yields and oil feed dollar strength and G10 FX — an educational cross-asset transmission map for Pre-London readers.
DXY · US10Y · Brent
A durable Pre-London process guide for ranking US data, converting times to EAT/UTC, and observing FX transmission through PCE and payrolls week.
USD · US calendar
Educational risk note on USD/JPY after Mimura’s Reuters warning — how jawboning and coordinated-intervention history change volatility regimes.
USD/JPY · JPY
Educational pre-London brief on the dollar late-week pause, EUR/USD weekly softness, and yield-driven transmission after the September Fed hike.
EUR/USD · DXY · USD index
Educational preview of Tuesday RBA decision window, consensus framing, and how AUD typically transmits policy surprises.
AUD/USD · AUD crosses · RBA cash rate
How US Treasury yields and oil above one hundred dollars transmit into dollar strength, with an educational dashboard approach.
DXY · US Treasuries · Brent crude · XAU/USD
A structured educational checklist for interpreting BoJ and other central-bank minutes when they hit the FX wire.
BoJ minutes process · JPY complex
Educational risk watch on yen official communication, USD/JPY volatility, and month-end rebalancing into the London week.
USD/JPY · EUR/JPY · JPY crosses
From Friday 25 September the dollar index faded a few handles then reclaimed 101. The 10-year printed as high as 5.23% — the firmest since 2007 — before easing. October hike odds sit near 70%. This week’s PCE, JOLTS, ADP and NFP will decide whether 101 is a base or a fade.
DXY · EUR/USD · GBP/USD
Friday gold still closed near 4,285 after defending the 0.618 at 4,242. Monday 28 September the metal broke that cluster, traded through 4,200, and printed as low as the mid-4,150s — a fresh low since early August. Yields and the dollar did the work. Geopolitics did not save the bid.
XAU/USD · XAG/USD · DXY
Friday crude sold about 3% on a hoped-for US–Iran opening of Hormuz. Over the weekend President Trump rejected Iran’s seven-day terms. Brent pushed back through $107 and WTI toward $94. The Trump–Xi summit only extended the Busan trade truce two months, to 10 January 2027. Energy still sets the FX rates tape.
USD/CAD · AUD/USD · USD/CNH
How the dollar’s late-September rise to multi-week highs maps to Fed hike odds, yields, and EURUSD ahead of PCE and NFP.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD
How to read BEA’s August PCE release into dollar and yield pricing ahead of the October FOMC meeting.
USD · US10Y · EUR/USD
Why Treasury yields, oil shocks, and risk sentiment jointly drive the dollar—and how to keep the channels straight.
US10Y · DXY · XAU/USD · USD/JPY
A repeatable process for sizing and sequencing risk through a week of PCE, ISM, RBA, and Nonfarm Payrolls.
USD · EUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY
How to handle RBA announcement risk when the cash rate is closely watched: statement, press conference, and liquidity.
AUD/USD · AUD · USD
USD/JPY poked above 159 after the BoJ hike was called too soft. On 25 September Finance Minister Katayama said Trump flagged yen weakness to PM Takaichi, then affirmed cooperation with Treasury Secretary Bessent. The yen snapped five down days. 160 is now a political level.
USD/JPY · EUR/JPY · AUD/JPY
EUR/USD spent the week from 22 September giving up 1.145 toward 1.137 — a two-month low and a third straight weekly decline, the longest run since the turn of the year. Thursday’s Schnabel-to-IMF resignation is a personnel story on a rates tape.
EUR/USD · EUR/GBP · EUR/JPY
Cable spent 22–25 September sliding from the mid-1.33s toward 1.3220, a three-month trough, and was on track for its worst week in four months. The BoE is still on hold at 3.75%. The dollar is not.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · GBP/JPY
From 22 September gold gave back last week’s post-FOMC pop as front-end yields surged. The metal tagged about 4,303 in Asia on the 24th, slid toward 4,246 in London, and steadied near 4,272. The 0.618 at 4,242 is the level desks keep naming.
XAU/USD · DXY · USD/JPY
From 22 September the dollar index punched through 101 — a two-month high — after S&P flash composite PMI printed 58.4, its strongest since July 2021. October hike odds jumped from the low-50s toward 70%. Desk colour, not a trade.
DXY · EUR/USD · GBP/USD
Fed, ECB and BoJ all tightened this month with the Middle East conflict in the statement. Oil, CAD, and gold are trading the same shock from different chairs. A rates week is still an energy week.
USD/CAD · AUD/USD · XAU/USD
The BoJ hiked to 1.25% — the highest in 31 years — and the yen still dropped 2% on the week. A suspected rate check near 158 and a three-day Japan holiday keep intervention risk on the blotter.
USD/JPY · EUR/JPY · AUD/JPY
A unanimous 25 bp lift to 3.75–4.00% and a hawkish dot plot sent the dollar index through 100. The curve now prices another move as soon as October. Desk colour, not a trade.
DXY · EUR/USD · USD/JPY
The MPC voted 6–3 to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% as UK CPI sits at 3.1% and energy prices remain volatile. Against a hawkish Fed, sterling had a quieter week — and a wider dollar spread.
GBP/USD · EUR/GBP · GBP/JPY
A fully priced 25 bp ECB hike and a “no path” press conference were not enough once the Fed went hawkish. EUR/USD closed the following week below 1.1500. German state votes added a political overlay.
EUR/USD · EUR/GBP · EUR/JPY